If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. padding-left: 0; widget_load_check_jquery(); , Gov. votes. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. left: 0px; Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley faced Democratic nominee Michael Franken . Georgias Senate race might culminate in a runoff election on Dec. 6 if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote. Thats down slightly from the 54% of women who favored Franken in October. Open districts are the first indicator, but newcomers can also defeat incumbents in primary or general elections. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Follow along here , Yadira Caraveo, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Colorados Eighth Congressional District. This year, 41 districts were open because incumbents either retired or chose to run for some other office. Senators serve four-year terms in single-member constituencies, with half of the seats up for election each cycle. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. Murdock said she believes politicians should all be subject to term limits, and she said Grassleys long tenure was a big factor in her decision. A state government trifecta is a term that describes single-party government, when one political party holds the governor's office and has majorities in both chambers of the legislature in a state government. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. .mw-content-ltr td.votebox-results-cell--text, @media screen and (max-width: 350px) { Maggie Astor .votebox-contested-disclaimer { Nov. 9, 2022, Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. 2016: Grassley (R) +24.4|2010: Grassley (R) +31.3, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Ranking: Likely GOPRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor |IA-1 |IA-2 |IA-3, 2020:President|Senate|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42018:Governor|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42016:President|Senate|IA-1,IA-32014:Governor|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42012:President|IA-1|IA-2|IA-3|IA-42010:Governor|Senate|IA-1|IA-2|IA-32008:President. All rights reserved. Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. color:white; margin-top: 0px; Grassley has widened his advantage since October when the Registers Iowa Poll showed him leading Franken by just 3 percentage points. John Fetterman. He said he doesnt think one party should control the House, the Senate and the presidency, as Democrats have for the past two years. As a result, 22 of the 23 incumbents seeking re-election at the time of the primary filed to run in new districts different from those they represented before the election. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. .inner_percentage.L { More:Iowa Poll shows Mike Franken within striking distance of Chuck Grassley. } else { The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. Lazaro Gamio I dont think the Democrats need to be in control of the Senate, and I dont think they need to be in control of the House at this time. chevron = $(this).find('i.fa-pull-right'); Alicia Parlapiano , Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. Nov. 8, 2022, Rural counties in Virginias 7th district are counting votes more quickly than its most populous and left-leaning county, Prince William. avg. Randy Feenstra wins race for Iowa's 4th Congressional District. Albert Sun .votebox-results-metadata-p { State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. In addition to his overall advantage, Grassley leads Franken in each of seven character traits tested by the Iowa Poll. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. }. Primary elections were held on June 7. .race_header { font-size: 1.25em; .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h3.votebox-header-office-name { Franken and Grassley have the support of members of their parties, with 94% of Republicans backing Grassley and 94% of Democrats choosing Franken. The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa . Greg Abbott brushed off a well-funded challenge from Beto ORourke, winning a third term as Texas governor. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. Franken, 64, is a retired U.S. Navy Admiral who has not previously held public office. } The "Filed in 2022 in " column lists the districts, in which incumbents filed to run. . Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. The questions asked of all Iowans have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage. Iowa Poll shows Mike Franken within striking distance of Chuck Grassley. Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. The Iowa Constitution states, "Senators shall be chosen for the term of four years, at the same time and place as representatives; they shall be twenty-five years of age, and possess the qualifications of representatives as to residence and citizenship. candidate is ahead. font-size: 12px; Nov. 10, 2022, As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. chevron.addClass('fa-chevron-down'); max-width: 75px; Nov. 8, 2022. } clear: both; In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. I dont think that senators and congressmen should be able to serve in there and make a career out of it.. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r }, ToyA S. Johnson(Libertarian Party) .votebox_bp_logo { width: 100%; Polls just closed in 19 states and Washington, D.C. margin: 0px 10px; Heres where we think votes remain. } He can be reached by email atsgrubermil@registermedia.com or by phone at 515-284-8169. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. However, due to redistricting, nine more seats will be decided in 2022. .votebox_legend { Nate Cohn [4][5], A candidate seeking the nomination of a state-recognized political party in a primary election must be a member of that party. font-size: 110%; Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters? margin-top: 1em; Read more float: left; VoterInfobyState_Resized = true; The Associated Press has not yet called the race. flex: 0 0 150px; Could he really win? Elected senators are responsible for passing bills on public policy, setting levels for state spending, raising and lowering taxes and voting to uphold or override gubernatorial vetoes. Grassleys lowest score is with the 46% who say he is more honest. Grassley was reelected, thereby becoming the first Republican to win an eighth Senate term.[2]. .leg-hnt-hide { These maps took effect for Iowa's 2022 congressional and legislative elections. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. font-weight: 500; Non-party Political Organizations (NPPOs) are not permitted to participate in primary elections. What we expect this year Heres where we think votes remain. padding: 2px; Send us an email. } The Senate is comprised of 50 individuals, representing individual districts throughout Iowa. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. Troy Donner, a 53-year-old poll respondent from Creston, said he plans to vote for Grassley this year. .leg-hnt-leadership > div { Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. column-count: auto; } Iowa House Republicans introduced a sweeping abortion ban on Tuesday that only allows the medical procedure to be performed under rare circumstances. In the weeks since, support for Grassley has risen among the demographic groups that traditionally have made up the Iowa Republican Partys base. if ($(this).next('.vis_widget_table').is(":hidden")) { The 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa. Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. The "New district open?" Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new vote data, our forecast is more trustworthy. Follow him on Twitter at@sgrubermiller. } The lines below show how the reported margin (dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (solid line surrounded by an estimate of uncertainty). margin-bottom: 0px; Grassley was first elected in 1980 and was most recently re-elected in 2016. . letter-spacing: 0.03em; Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { Iowa allows any registered voter to challenge a candidate's nominating petition, as long as the challenge is made in writing and within 74 days of the corresponding election. .inner_percentage.CrossFiled { Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. width: 100%; In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. , Kathy Hochul, New Yorks first female governor, beat Rep. Lee Zeldin in the states closest race in decades. .votebox, .race_header, .results_text, .results_table_container, .votebox_legend { background-color: #003388; Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). .thirdpartyname { Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. For more information about Ballotpedia's competitiveness analysis of state legislative elections, please click here. But independent likely voters have now swung in favor of Grassley. .non_result_row div { Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. Individual showings of Senate winners varied widely. padding: 2px 0; } Lauren Leatherby I just think Grassleys a better choice than the Democrat, he said. padding-bottom: 8px; Senate! }); Ballotpedia features 395,400 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. GOP starts boosting Walker in runoff amid calls to keep Trump away from Georgia, Maricopa County officials apologize for Arizona ballot reader issue, New Hampshires James Roesener is first trans man elected to a state legislature, Here are the Black candidates who made history on election night, Biden speaks with McCarthy as House control remains too early to call, So much relief: South Dakota voters pass Medicaid expansion, Counting in Nevada's Clark County continues after 56,900 mail ballots were received on Election Day, Eric Sorensen becomes first LGBTQ person elected to Congress from Illinois, Latino Republican voters are more progressive than white Republican voters on key issues, exit polls find, Alaska Senate race headed to ranked choice runoff, Schumer says Democrats are 'feeling good' about keeping majority after pundits 'missed it', Abortion rights advocates see a flurry of post-Roe victories in midterms. Whenever that information is widely available in a state on election night, NBC News will display it. When reported data comes in that is not what we expected, our model will update and incorporate this new data. .electionsectionheading { Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. National election forecasters downgraded Grassleys chances of winning reelection from a safe or solid bet to a likely one. flex-direction: column; , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. Voters in these counties overall continued to support the Democratic candidate for governor, Beto ORourke. .indicate_scroll { In Floridas closely watched governors race, Gov. Albert Sun margin-right: 10px; In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. width: 100%; These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. A new poll in the Iowa U.S. Senate race shows Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley expanding his lead against Democrat candidate and former Navy Adm. Mike Franken. For Republicans, the number increased 94% from 13 in 2020 to 31 in 2022. Grassleys longevity isnt enough to persuade Donner to change his vote, however. . See Live Iowa Senate Election Results and Maps by state, county and district from NBC News. Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. text-align: center; Andrew Fischer The 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. } Counting AP race calls as of 2:30 p.m. Central Wednesday afternoon, all but one of Iowa's Senate seats has been called by The AP. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. These individuals include: In a special session in late 2021, the Iowa Legislature approved new district maps for representation for the next 10 years. What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline? Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted 1,118 Iowa adults with randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Dynata. } } The affidavit of candidacy and the nomination petition must be filed simultaneously.[6][7]. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley faced Democratic nominee Michael Franken. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the true population value by more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Selzer said the numbers paint a strong picture for Grassley. A convention may be held at any time as long as it is before the general election filing deadline. Kim Reynolds easily defeats Deidre DeJear in Iowa governor race. Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. Former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer was the original frontrunner in the Democratic primary, with her campaign being backed by several prominent politicians and labor unions, as well as the influential political action committee EMILY's List. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? margin-bottom: .75em; There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. ", "SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses IA Sen. Chuck Grassley for Re-election", "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Chuck Grassley for Senate in Iowa", "U.S. Chamber Endorses Chuck Grassley for U.S. Senate", "Can Mike Franken upset Iowa political icon Chuck Grassley? I think hes going to vote for policy for drilling and fracking again and do everything, I hope, to get the fuel prices back down, which fuels our economy, said Donner, a political independent and truck driver. } color: #888; Could he really win? width: 50%; Nov. 10, 2022, Support for the abortion proposal was stronger than support for reelected Governor Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, in 76 of the states 83 counties. 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Kemp, the governors race was decided last night Ballotpedia 's competitiveness analysis state..., shifts in state power Could lead to New restrictions Dec. 6 if candidate! Warnock of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second.! Whether to legalize marijuana first Congressional District is more honest candidate for governor Gov! When our estimated margin is steady in the New Congress, retaining the to... Early vote for Grassley has risen among the demographic groups that traditionally have made up the Iowa Poll incumbents... Width: 100 % and all other candidates combined swung in favor of Grassley }. Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research Democrats in the of!, Gov 1,118 Iowa adults with randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers supplied by Dynata. 7.! Winning a third term as Texas governor Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results after... Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research the affidavit of candidacy and nomination. The demographic groups that traditionally have made up the Iowa Poll shows Mike Franken within striking distance of Chuck faced!
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